Just when what you’re watching on CNN everyday is not bad enough, switch over to the Russian channel and you will hear a Russian professor predicting the coming of the end of US. There is a feature with the WSJ on how the Russian Prof Igor Panarin forecasts that 'America 'Disintegrates' in 2010. Not sure he had forecast the fall of Russian communism. He is now saying by 2010, US will going into cicil war. Yes a year from today. So check your bonds and T-bills expiry dates and make sure you cash them quick. This guy is now being interview twice everyday.
He is predicting that an economic (automakers and banks) and moral (hip-hop music and Hollywood) collapse will trigger a civil war and the eventual breakup of the US. Prof. Panarin, a 50 year old former KGB analyst (we can trust him), is also the dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry's academy for future diplomats. His view is music to many Russian politicians as that’s an opportunity for Russian to return to the stage.
According to Panarin, "There's a 55-45% chance right now that disintegration will occur," he says. "One could rejoice in that process," he adds. "But if we're talking reasonably, it's not the best scenario -- for Russia." Though Russia would become more powerful on the global stage, he says, its economy would suffer because it currently depends heavily on the dollar and on trade with the U.S. He also suggested the US will break into six pieces -- with Alaska reverting to Russian control (pls take Sarah Palin with you)!
He based this forecast on classified data supplied to him by FAPSI analysts, he says. He predicts that economic, financial and demographic trends will provoke a political and social crisis in the US. When the going gets tough, he says, wealthier states will withhold funds from the federal government and effectively secede from the union. Social unrest up to and including a civil war will follow and the US. will then split along ethnic lines, and foreign (??) powers will move in.
Here’s the funny part, California will form the nucleus of what he calls "The Californian Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence (He did not mention whether Lenovo will move its head office to Sunnyville and Yao Ming will replace Schwarzenegger as the governor). Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic" (run by George Bush? The Texan Imperial Republic) and a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence (they will have to switch over to Pesos) Washington, D.C.
What about NY? New York will be part of an "Atlantic America" (AA, they already have a national airline) that may join the European Union (is it that bad?). Canada will grab a group of Northern states (Royal Mounties will march across the border and replace all Starbucks with with Tim Hortons overnight) he calls "The Central North American Republic (CNAP)." Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan (finally) or China (wrong, they prefer Taiwan), and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia (Palin as the puppet governor and she is learning Russian now).
Not sure what he has been drinking or smoking. Let me tell what I think. This current administration is no question the worst in the history of America and ran by a bunch of idiots, we don’t need to say more. Many of the current crisis are in the making before this administration to be fair. This administration destroyed America’s image and trust in the world stage and cost many lives both in the US military and Irag's civilians.
Americans don’t like war, only this administration. It is not what America set out to be. Sending troops overseas, building military bases in foreign countries, and making alliances is foreign interventionism is not right nor wise.. The Founding Fathers recommended a noninterventionist foreign policy, and for good reason. George Washington warned against "permanent alliances with any portion of the foreign world." He also said: "The great rule of conduct for us in regard to foreign nations is, in extending our commercial relations to have with them as little political connection as possible."
Thomas Jefferson stated: "I am for free commerce with all nations, political connection with none, and little or no diplomatic establishment. And I am not for linking ourselves by new treaties with the quarrels of Europe, entering that field of slaughter to preserve their balance, or joining in the confederacy of Kings to war against the principles of liberty."
John Quincy Adams would certainly not have approved of current US foreign policy since he said that "America . . . goes not abroad seeking monsters to destroy." Were they transported to the twenty-first century, would Washington, Jefferson, and Adams even recognize the American republic today as the same country in which they served as president? Did we study American history?
Despite that, the country is not going to disintegrate, there will be more unity under Obama and Americans will come together to rebuild the economy, the society and international relations. The evidence of American decline is weak. Its share of the global economy last year was about 21%, compared with about 23% in 1990, 22% in 1980 and 24% in 1960. Although the US is suffering through a financial crisis, so is every other important economy. If the past is any guide, the adaptable US economy will be the first to come out of recession and may find its position in the global economy enhanced.
Meanwhile, US technological innovation (and military power) is virtually unmatched … America's image is certainly damaged, as measured by polls, but the practical effects of this are far from clear. Is the US's image today worse than it was in the '60s and early '70s, with the Vietnam War; the Watts riots; the My Lai massacre; the assassinations of John F. Kennedy, Martin Luther King and Bobby Kennedy; and Watergate? Does anyone recall that millions of anti-American protesters took to the streets in Europe in those years? If you were living in Berkerly CA you will remember what it was like then.
The US will remain the single most powerful and innovative entity in the world but iit cannot dominate, much less dictate. They need to work with the new global powers China and India and they can be more trusting partners than Russia. I don’t think China wants California anyway nor Canada wants Michigan (the automakers are too big a liability for the Canadians). This guy has been drinking too much.
Recent Comments